The card
Today, 25 October 2026 · as at 25 October 2026
- Venue
- Kurrajong Paceway
- Code
- Harness
- Class
- Class B
- Distance
- 1609m
- Start
- Mobile
- Surface
- Limestone
- Cycle
- Twilight
- Each way
- 1/5 odds, places 1-2-3
Twenty-four minutes after the feature, the same eight pacers go round again: Class B over 1609 metres from a mobile start at Kurrajong Paceway at 8.06pm, draw id KUR-R5-9862B6. Same field, same distance, same front line of eight, a different weighting table and a different book at 115.8.
Harbour Flyer holds 352 of the 1,000 numbers from barrier eight, 35.2 per cent, which is the largest single block the programme has published and reads as an implied 40.8 at $2.45. Night Shift holds 242 from barrier four. The two of them hold 594 between them and the other six share 406.
The contrast with the feature is the point of running the two cards together. In the Kurrajong Mile, Harbour Flyer holds 48 numbers and Night Shift 271; here it is 352 and 242. Black Stump goes from 199 to 27 and from $4.38 to $31.98. Nothing happened in between: two tables were published twenty-four minutes apart and both are printed in full.
Field
8 runners · no scratchings on this circuit
| No | Colours | Barrier | Runner | Driver | Trainer | Form | Record | Price | Numbers | Implied | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bluebush Boy | Dale Prentice | Bronwyn Esch | 01456 | 59-11-12-6 | 8.15 | 106 | 12.3% | Barrier one in both Kurrajong races on the card, and the engine has him on 144 numbers in the Mile and 106 here. | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Stump | Ange Vuletich | Nam Tran | 45144 | 57-13-5-4 | 31.98 | 27 | 3.1% | Twenty-seven numbers off barrier two, the thinnest block in the field, after holding 199 in the feature twenty-four minutes earlier. | |
| 3 | 3 | Gidgee Gold | Marnie Kessel | Faisal Karim | 81772 | 35-9-6-5 | 19.19 | 45 | 5.2% | Forty-five numbers from barrier three at $19.19, 4.5 per cent of the draw, with nine career wins from 35 starts. | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Shift | Sam Oyelaran | Trudy Aspinall | 77823 | 55-7-8-10 | 3.57 | 242 | 28.0% | Two hundred and forty-two numbers off barrier four, second block, and 24.2 per cent against a career strike rate of 12.7. | |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Creek | Col Yarrow | Vera Lindqvist | 79435 | 17-3-1-2 | 9.29 | 93 | 10.8% | Ninety-three numbers from barrier five, fourth block, from seventeen career starts for three wins. | |
| 6 | 6 | Salt Pan | Pia Castellan | Coen McTiernan | 20368 | 26-4-5-3 | 15.15 | 57 | 6.6% | Fifty-seven numbers off barrier six, 5.7 per cent, thirteen numbers more than it held in the feature. | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Gum Rebel | Ned Forrester | Hugh Pentland | 96081 | 52-9-7-6 | 11.07 | 78 | 9.0% | Seventy-eight numbers from barrier seven, three numbers more than the 75 it held in the feature at $11.63. | |
| 8 | 8 | Harbour Flyer | Bess Tranter | Dorrie Slack-Smith | 44517 | 56-12-8-8 | 2.45 | 352 | 40.8% | The top block at 352 numbers from barrier eight, 35.2 per cent, the largest block in the published programme at the shortest price on it, $2.45. |
Scroll the table sideways to see every column.
Prices on this page are the draw weighting in another notation. They are reference figures published with the card, not odds available anywhere, and not a betting recommendation.
A field is fixed when the card is published: there are no scratchings, no non-runners and no starting price. Why that follows from the draw.
The draw
The result is a weighted draw of 1,000 numbers without replacement: each runner holds a block of numbers in proportion to its price, a number is drawn once, and the animation is rendered from the order that comes out. Everything used to produce this race is printed below, so the race can be reconstructed.
- Draw id
- KUR-R5-9862B6
- Engine
- GP-Draw 4.2
- Seed
- 9862b6061b688550
- Numbers in the draw
- 1,000
- Book
- 115.8%
- Margin
- 15.8%
A draw without replacement cannot produce a dead heat, and a field that is fixed at publication cannot produce a late scratching. How a virtual race is decided works through the arithmetic in full.
The form desk
-
Top of the market
2.45 352 numbers · 35.2% true
-
Where the book is thinnest
8.15 106 numbers · 10.6% true
-
The outsider
31.98 27 numbers · 2.7% true
The house position, unchanged: the order is drawn from the table without replacement and nothing in the form column reaches it. This card is worth a column anyway, because it holds the largest block on the circuit.
Three hundred and fifty-two numbers is 35.2 per cent of the draw, and at a book of 115.8 it is printed as 40.8 per cent implied — a margin of 5.6 points, and 40.8 is the largest implied percentage on any card in the programme. The multiplier is 1.158 and it is the same for Black Stump, whose 2.7 per cent reads as 3.1 for a margin of 0.4.
The flat end of the field is where the two columns part company hardest. Black Stump has thirteen career wins from 57 starts, the most of the eight pacers, and holds the thinnest block on the card. Gidgee Gold has the best career strike rate of the eight at 25.7 per cent and holds 45. Bluebush Boy has the most starts at 59 and holds 106 from the pegs.
Then tomorrow night the same pacer tops the Gidgee Pace from a block of 338, over 1660 metres round an 805 metre lap. Two cards, 352 and 338, the largest two blocks still to run and both on the same name. That is a fact about the published tables and not about the pacer, and the distinction is most of what this paper is for.
Ilsa Brandt, Games and culture
Form desk columns are editorial opinion only. They are not financial advice, not investment recommendations and not an inducement to wager. A weighted draw has no form to read in the predictive sense; what these columns argue about is the published weighting.
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