Class C Mobile Pace

The card

Yesterday, 24 October 2026 · as at 25 October 2026

Venue: Kurrajong Paceway
Code: Harness
Class: Class C
Distance: 1609m
Start: Mobile
Surface: Limestone
Cycle: Twilight
Each way: 1/5 odds, places 1-2-3

The Class C Mobile Pace was race three at Kurrajong Paceway, 1609 metres from a mobile start at 7.18pm yesterday. Draw id KUR-R3-DA8987, seed da89870cd3c5f179, settled at 19:19 on a book of 118.0 across eight.

Red Gum Rebel held 309 of the 1,000 numbers from barrier two, 30.9 per cent, with Gidgee Gold on 225 from barrier three. The two of them held 534 and the other six shared 466. The thinnest block was Salt Pan on 44, a spread of seven-fold, which made this the third flattest of the five harness tables the programme has published.

All eight sat on the front line, as they do for a Kurrajong mile. The lap is the full trip here, so the winner's mile rate of 1:53.8 is simply its time — the only 1609 metre mobile time on the resulted programme.

Field

8 runners · no scratchings on this circuit

No	Barrier	Runner	Driver	Trainer	Form	Record	Price	Numbers	Implied	Note
1	1	Black Stump	Ange Vuletich	Nam Tran	84514	56-13-5-4	7.24	117	13.8%	One hundred and seventeen numbers from barrier one, third block, at $7.24.
2	2	Red Gum Rebel	Dale Prentice	Hugh Pentland	99608	51-8-7-6	2.74	309	36.5%	The top block at 309 numbers off barrier two, 30.9 per cent, and the shortest price on the card at $2.74.
3	3	Gidgee Gold	Marnie Kessel	Faisal Karim	18177	34-9-5-5	3.77	225	26.5%	Two hundred and twenty-five numbers from barrier three, second block, 84 behind the top.
4	4	Night Shift	Sam Oyelaran	Trudy Aspinall	37782	54-7-8-9	8.56	99	11.7%	Ninety-nine numbers off barrier four, fourth block, 11.7 per cent implied.
5	5	Bluebush Boy	Pia Castellan	Bronwyn Esch	30145	58-11-12-6	16.62	51	6.0%	Fifty-one numbers from barrier five at $16.62, seventh on the table.
6	6	Salt Pan	Col Yarrow	Coen McTiernan	42036	25-4-5-3	19.26	44	5.2%	Forty-four numbers off barrier six, the thinnest block on the card, carrying 0.8 points of the 18.0 the book added.
7	7	Copper Creek	Bess Tranter	Vera Lindqvist	17943	16-3-1-2	11.45	74	8.7%	Seventy-four numbers from barrier seven, sixth on the table, 8.7 per cent implied.
8	8	Harbour Flyer	Ned Forrester	Dorrie Slack-Smith	94451	55-12-8-8	10.46	81	9.6%	Eighty-one numbers off barrier eight, fifth block, 9.6 per cent implied at $10.46.

Prices on this page are the draw weighting in another notation. They are reference figures published with the card, not odds available anywhere, and not a betting recommendation.

A field is fixed when the card is published: there are no scratchings, no non-runners and no starting price. Why that follows from the draw.

The draw

The result is a weighted draw of 1,000 numbers without replacement: each runner holds a block of numbers in proportion to its price, a number is drawn once, and the animation is rendered from the order that comes out. Everything used to produce this race is printed below, so the race can be reconstructed.

Draw id: KUR-R3-DA8987
Engine: GP-Draw 4.2
Seed: da89870cd3c5f179
Numbers in the draw: 1,000
Book: 118.0%
Margin: 18.0%

Drawn order, by saddlecloth: 2 → 3 → 4 → 1 → 7 → 5 → 8 → 6

A draw without replacement cannot produce a dead heat, and a field that is fixed at publication cannot produce a late scratching. How a virtual race is decided works through the arithmetic in full.

Result

Pos	Runner	Driver	Mile rate	Margin	Price	Implied
1	Red Gum Rebel	Dale Prentice	1:53.8	—	2.74	36.5%
2	Gidgee Gold	Marnie Kessel		neck	3.77	26.5%
3	Night Shift	Sam Oyelaran		1.2L	8.56	11.7%
4	Black Stump	Ange Vuletich		3.2L	7.24	13.8%
5	Copper Creek	Bess Tranter		4.5L	11.45	8.7%
6	Bluebush Boy	Pia Castellan		7.9L	16.62	6.0%
7	Harbour Flyer	Ned Forrester		9.7L	10.46	9.6%
8	Salt Pan	Col Yarrow		14L	19.26	5.2%

The draw opened 2, 3, 4, 1, so the two thickest blocks came out first and second in the order the table had them. Red Gum Rebel's 309 numbers held, Gidgee Gold's 225 followed a neck away on the screen, and the eighth block, Salt Pan on 44, came out last at fourteen lengths.

Dividends

Win: $2.74
Place: $1.58
Forecast: $4.92
Tricast: $16.08

Dividends are what the published weighting implies for a one-credit stake in the free demo. Nothing is staked on this circuit and nothing is paid out.

The form desk

Top of the market

Red Gum Rebel

2.74 309 numbers · 30.9% true
Where the book is thinnest

Black Stump

7.24 117 numbers · 11.7% true
The outsider

Salt Pan

19.26 44 numbers · 4.4% true

The house line applies to the read as much as to the result: the order came out of a weighted draw, so nothing in the form column explains it, and the only explanation available is the table.

The table was top-heavy and the draw followed it, which happens about as often as the numbers say it should. Red Gum Rebel held 309 numbers of the 1,000 and came out first. Gidgee Gold held 225 and came out second. Between them they held 534 of the 1,000, so the draw was more likely than not to take one of those two first.

What the screen then showed was a neck, which is a rendering decision rather than a finding. The numbers were 84 apart. The margin column describes the picture and the weighting table describes the race, and this card publishes both in that order.

The dividend was $2.74 for a win and $1.58 for a place, which is the thinnest win return the programme has declared. Eight resulted cards, and the shortest-priced winner among them is a pacer that held not quite a third of the draw.

Ilsa Brandt, Games and culture

Form desk columns are editorial opinion only. They are not financial advice, not investment recommendations and not an inducement to wager. A weighted draw has no form to read in the predictive sense; what these columns argue about is the published weighting.

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