Trial

The card

5 days ago, 20 October 2026 · as at 25 October 2026

Venue: Wattle Hill
Code: Thoroughbred
Class: Trial
Distance: 1400m
Surface: Turf
Cycle: Twilight
Each way: 1/5 odds, places 1-2-3

The Trial was race one at Wattle Hill, 1400 metres at 11.20am five days ago. Draw id WAT-R1-DD5D9C, seed dd5d9c6c967db7a7, settled at 11:21 on a book of 116.7 across eight. A trial on this circuit is the lowest rung of the class ladder and it counts in the record like any other race.

Marble Bar held 255 of the 1,000 numbers from barrier one, 25.5 per cent. Then came a pair one number apart: Tin Whistle on 178 from barrier seven and Bitumen on 177 from barrier five, printed at $4.81 and $4.84. The thinnest block was Sunday Pages on 47, at $18.22.

The spread was 255 down to 47, a little over five-fold, which made it the second flattest table of the 21 the programme has published. The 1400 metres starts 200 metres past the post inside the home straight, so no chute is needed, and the rise through the back section is terrain geometry rather than a number in the table.

Field

8 runners · no scratchings on this circuit

No	Barrier	Runner	Jockey	Trainer	Form	Record	Price	Numbers	Implied	Note
1	1	Marble Bar	Ruby Nankervis	Vera Lindqvist	30198	26-6-3-2	3.36	255	29.8%	The top block at 255 numbers from barrier one, 25.5 per cent, and the shortest price on the card at $3.36.
2	2	Old Telegraph	Eli Vandermeer	Coen McTiernan	71812	30-5-6-3	12.59	68	7.9%	Sixty-eight numbers off barrier two, sixth on the table, 7.9 per cent implied.
3	3	Tally Room	Kaz Tupou	Hugh Pentland	9311	30-8-5-2	6.69	128	14.9%	One hundred and twenty-eight numbers from barrier three, fourth block, at $6.69.
4	4	Switchyard	Cleo Baird	Bronwyn Esch	4748	31-5-3-3	10.70	80	9.3%	Eighty numbers off barrier four, fifth block, twelve numbers clear of barrier two.
5	5	Bitumen	Jonty Mapp	Bronwyn Esch	8754	31-3-7-4	4.84	177	20.7%	One hundred and seventy-seven numbers from barrier five, one number behind barrier seven and a tenth of a point behind it at 20.7 implied.
6	6	Stockyard Gate	Priya Sandhu	Faisal Karim	72144	39-6-5-3	12.78	67	7.8%	Sixty-seven numbers off barrier six, seventh on the table, one number behind barrier two.
7	7	Tin Whistle	Gina Mavros	Coen McTiernan	8101	31-6-6-4	4.81	178	20.8%	One hundred and seventy-eight numbers from barrier seven, second block, one number clear of barrier five.
8	8	Sunday Pages	Linc Pappas	Nam Tran	0801	42-11-8-6	18.22	47	5.5%	Forty-seven numbers off barrier eight, the thinnest block on the card, carrying 0.8 points of the 16.7 the book added.

Prices on this page are the draw weighting in another notation. They are reference figures published with the card, not odds available anywhere, and not a betting recommendation.

A field is fixed when the card is published: there are no scratchings, no non-runners and no starting price. Why that follows from the draw.

The draw

The result is a weighted draw of 1,000 numbers without replacement: each runner holds a block of numbers in proportion to its price, a number is drawn once, and the animation is rendered from the order that comes out. Everything used to produce this race is printed below, so the race can be reconstructed.

Draw id: WAT-R1-DD5D9C
Engine: GP-Draw 4.2
Seed: dd5d9c6c967db7a7
Numbers in the draw: 1,000
Book: 116.7%
Margin: 16.7%

Drawn order, by saddlecloth: 6 → 5 → 1 → 7 → 3 → 2 → 4 → 8

A draw without replacement cannot produce a dead heat, and a field that is fixed at publication cannot produce a late scratching. How a virtual race is decided works through the arithmetic in full.

Result

Pos	Runner	Jockey	Time	Margin	Price	Implied
1	Stockyard Gate	Priya Sandhu	1:22.0	—	12.78	7.8%
2	Bitumen	Jonty Mapp		short half-head	4.84	20.7%
3	Marble Bar	Ruby Nankervis		2.5L	3.36	29.8%
4	Tin Whistle	Gina Mavros		4.7L	4.81	20.8%
5	Tally Room	Kaz Tupou		8.4L	6.69	14.9%
6	Old Telegraph	Eli Vandermeer		12L	12.59	7.9%
7	Switchyard	Cleo Baird		17L	10.70	9.3%
8	Sunday Pages	Linc Pappas		18L	18.22	5.5%

The draw came out 6, 5, 1, so the seventh block came out first and the third block followed a short half-head behind it on the screen — the shortest margin the programme has printed. Marble Bar, on 255 numbers and the thickest block on the card, came out third at 2.5 lengths.

Dividends

Win: $12.78
Place: $4.93
Forecast: $29.45
Tricast: $37.79

Dividends are what the published weighting implies for a one-credit stake in the free demo. Nothing is staked on this circuit and nothing is paid out.

The form desk

Top of the market

Marble Bar

3.36 255 numbers · 25.5% true
Where the book is thinnest

Tin Whistle

4.81 178 numbers · 17.8% true
The outsider

Stockyard Gate

12.78 67 numbers · 6.7% true

House line first: the order was drawn from the published table, so a short half-head is a rendering decision about a settled result and nothing more.

It is also the shortest margin the programme has printed. The two runners it separated held 67 numbers and 177, which is 110 numbers apart on the table and a head apart on the screen. The circuit has no dead heats and cannot have any: a number is drawn once, without replacement, so no two runners can fill the same placing however close the frame looks.

The 255-number top block came out third at 2.5 lengths. A block of that size fails to come out first a little under three times in four. The pair on 178 and 177 came out fourth and second, and the one number between them is the whole of what the table had to say about which was which.

This was the first of Stockyard Gate's three wins from five starts and the first of Priya Sandhu's two from five rides. It is also the earliest card on the clock that the programme has resulted, at 11.20am, and the only Trial among the eight.

Mo Farrelly, Form desk

Form desk columns are editorial opinion only. They are not financial advice, not investment recommendations and not an inducement to wager. A weighted draw has no form to read in the predictive sense; what these columns argue about is the published weighting.

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