Class B Flat

The card

Yesterday, 24 October 2026 · as at 25 October 2026

Venue: Mallee Park
Code: Thoroughbred
Class: Class B
Distance: 1600m
Surface: Turf
Cycle: Day
Each way: 1/5 odds, places 1-2-3

The Class B Flat was race four at Mallee Park, 1600 metres at 2.42pm yesterday. Draw id MAL-R4-4E8604, seed 4e86046e63ab3152, settled at 14:43 on a book of 122.7 across ten. The lap is 1800 metres, so the trip was 200 metres short of it.

Bitumen held 315 of the 1,000 numbers from barrier five, 31.5 per cent and the thickest block on the card, with Fence Line on 223 from barrier eight and Ninepin on 151 from barrier three. Those three held 689 between them and the other seven shared 311.

At the foot of the table Stockyard Gate at barrier one and Half Mast at barrier two held 20 numbers each, 2.0 per cent each, and were both printed at $40.78. They finished first and tenth, 27 lengths apart, which is the shape of this card in one line and the subject of this report.

Field

10 runners · no scratchings on this circuit

No	Barrier	Runner	Jockey	Trainer	Form	Record	Price	Numbers	Implied	Note
1	1	Stockyard Gate	Kaz Tupou	Faisal Karim	44110	42-8-5-3	40.78	20	2.5%	Twenty numbers from barrier one, tied with barrier two for the thinnest block on the card and tied with it at $40.78.
2	2	Half Mast	Priya Sandhu	Dorrie Slack-Smith	43551	24-5-3-2	40.78	20	2.5%	Twenty numbers off barrier two, the same block and the same price as barrier one.
3	3	Ninepin	Jonty Mapp	Dorrie Slack-Smith	53145	42-4-9-4	5.40	151	18.5%	One hundred and fifty-one numbers from barrier three, third block, 18.5 per cent implied.
4	4	Dry Lightning	Cleo Baird	Trudy Aspinall	80492	30-7-5-4	21.46	38	4.7%	Thirty-eight numbers off barrier four at $21.46, seventh on the table.
5	5	Bitumen	Eli Vandermeer	Bronwyn Esch	75420	33-3-8-4	2.59	315	38.6%	The top block at 315 numbers from barrier five, 31.5 per cent, and 7.1 points of margin on a book of 122.7.
6	6	Sunday Pages	Ruby Nankervis	Nam Tran	01878	45-11-8-6	11.02	74	9.1%	Seventy-four numbers off barrier six, fifth block, 9.1 per cent implied.
7	7	Old Telegraph	Linc Pappas	Coen McTiernan	12683	33-5-6-4	9.27	88	10.8%	Eighty-eight numbers from barrier seven, fourth block, fourteen numbers clear of barrier six.
8	8	Fence Line	Teddy Lamb	Faisal Karim	5724	40-4-5-8	3.66	223	27.3%	Two hundred and twenty-three numbers off barrier eight, second block, at $3.66.
9	9	Tally Room	Rhys Calder	Hugh Pentland	11506	33-8-5-2	29.13	28	3.4%	Twenty-eight numbers from barrier nine, eighth on the table, 3.4 per cent implied.
10	10	Switchyard	Noor Haddad	Bronwyn Esch	74875	33-5-3-3	18.97	43	5.3%	Forty-three numbers off barrier ten, sixth on the table, at $18.97.

Prices on this page are the draw weighting in another notation. They are reference figures published with the card, not odds available anywhere, and not a betting recommendation.

A field is fixed when the card is published: there are no scratchings, no non-runners and no starting price. Why that follows from the draw.

The draw

The result is a weighted draw of 1,000 numbers without replacement: each runner holds a block of numbers in proportion to its price, a number is drawn once, and the animation is rendered from the order that comes out. Everything used to produce this race is printed below, so the race can be reconstructed.

Draw id: MAL-R4-4E8604
Engine: GP-Draw 4.2
Seed: 4e86046e63ab3152
Numbers in the draw: 1,000
Book: 122.7%
Margin: 22.7%

Drawn order, by saddlecloth: 1 → 3 → 8 → 5 → 6 → 4 → 7 → 10 → 9 → 2

A draw without replacement cannot produce a dead heat, and a field that is fixed at publication cannot produce a late scratching. How a virtual race is decided works through the arithmetic in full.

Result

Pos	Runner	Jockey	Time	Margin	Price	Implied
1	Stockyard Gate	Kaz Tupou	1:32.1	—	40.78	2.5%
2	Ninepin	Jonty Mapp		2.2L	5.40	18.5%
3	Fence Line	Teddy Lamb		4.3L	3.66	27.3%
4	Bitumen	Eli Vandermeer		7.2L	2.59	38.6%
5	Sunday Pages	Ruby Nankervis		8.5L	11.02	9.1%
6	Dry Lightning	Cleo Baird		9.8L	21.46	4.7%
7	Old Telegraph	Linc Pappas		14L	9.27	10.8%
8	Switchyard	Noor Haddad		20L	18.97	5.3%
9	Tally Room	Rhys Calder		24L	29.13	3.4%
10	Half Mast	Priya Sandhu		27L	40.78	2.5%

Number one came out of the draw first, from a block of 20, and nothing after it mattered: the drawn order ran 1, 3, 8, 5, so the three thickest blocks filled second, third and fourth behind it. Half Mast, on the same 20 numbers and the same $40.78, came out last and was beaten 27 lengths.

Dividends

Win: $40.78
Place: $14.26
Forecast: $104.86
Tricast: $146.54

Dividends are what the published weighting implies for a one-credit stake in the free demo. Nothing is staked on this circuit and nothing is paid out.

The form desk

Top of the market

Bitumen

2.59 315 numbers · 31.5% true
Where the book is thinnest

Ninepin

5.40 151 numbers · 15.1% true
The outsider

Stockyard Gate

40.78 20 numbers · 2.0% true

The house position holds after the race as firmly as before it: the order was drawn from the published table, so nothing that happened on the screen is evidence about any runner in it.

This is the card the desk will be pointing at for the rest of the season. Two runners held identical blocks of 20 numbers and identical prices of $40.78. One came out first in the draw and one came out last. Twenty-seven lengths of rendered margin sat between two figures that were the same figure.

Bitumen held 315 numbers, 31.5 per cent, and came out fourth. That is not an upset and nothing went wrong: a block of 315 loses a shade over two races in three, and the draw is without replacement, so the only thing the top block is owed is the largest share of the numbers. It got it.

The $40.78 win return is the largest the programme has declared, and 20 numbers is the smallest block any winner on this circuit has held. The forecast paid $104.86, the largest on the resulted programme, and the tricast $146.54, because the first three out held 20, 151 and 223 numbers in that order.

Wren Tabakoff, Editor

Form desk columns are editorial opinion only. They are not financial advice, not investment recommendations and not an inducement to wager. A weighted draw has no form to read in the predictive sense; what these columns argue about is the published weighting.

Gambling involves risk. If gambling is causing you harm, call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 (free, 24/7) or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.